SimpleFunctions
KalshiAug 14, 2026103 days left

Will United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 45.5 million passengers in Q2 2026?

This contract is priced at 77¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 74¢ bid, 80¢ ask, 6¢ spread.

Implied probability

77¢
$15 volume
1.8 LAS liquidity
20% of event volume

Event outcomes

8

Family volume

$75

Best sibling

Above 47 million 44¢

Ticker

KXUAL-26JULPAX-45500000.0

Price history

77¢ current

+18¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 23, 2026May 2, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

74 / 80¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
74¢200
38¢47
36¢322
30¢500
21¢200
AskSize
80¢5
81¢200
94¢55
95¢84
96¢321

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If United Airlines Holdings Inc. reports Above 45500000.0 passengers in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 14, 2026

Identifier

KXUAL-26JULPAX-45500000.0

Event family

Will United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 4.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$75

Outcomes

8

Highest price

Above 45 million 85¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

124.4%

IY (No)

1007.5%

Adj IY

463%

CRI

3

Overround

2.8%

LAS

0.08

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

124.4%
1007.5%
Adj IY
463%
3
Overround
2.8%
LAS
0.08

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