United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 46 million passengers in Q2 2026
Above 46 million is priced at 87¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 88¢ bid, 93¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 11 inside Will United Airlines Holdings Inc. report.
Price history
87¢ current
+2¢Contract brief
If United Airlines Holdings Inc. reports Above 46000000.0 passengers in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 46 million
Rank
#3 of 11
Leader
Above 45 million 95¢
Range
2¢-95¢
Family volume
$271
Identifier
KXUAL-26JULPAX-46000000.0
Jun 26, 2026, 1:08 PM UTC · 18m ago
Implied probability
Bid
88¢
Ask
93¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$625
Family rank
#3 of 11
11 outcomes · Will United Airlines Holdings Inc. report
Closes
Aug 14, 2026
Family volume
$271
Orderbook snapshot
88 / 93¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If United Airlines Holdings Inc. reports Above 46000000.0 passengers in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 14, 2026
Identifier
KXUAL-26JULPAX-46000000.0
Event family
Will United Airlines Holdings Inc. report.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$271
Outcomes
11
Highest price
Above 45 million 95¢
Current share
0%
Above 45 million
kalshi · KXUAL-26JULPAX-45000000.0
Above 45.5 million
kalshi · KXUAL-26JULPAX-45500000.0
Above 46 million
kalshi · KXUAL-26JULPAX-46000000.0
Above 46.5 million
kalshi · KXUAL-26JULPAX-46500000.0
Above 47 million
kalshi · KXUAL-26JULPAX-47000000.0
Above 47.5 million
kalshi · KXUAL-26JULPAX-47500000.0
Above 48 million
kalshi · KXUAL-26JULPAX-48000000.0
Above 48.5 million
kalshi · KXUAL-26JULPAX-48500000.0
Above 49 million
kalshi · KXUAL-26JULPAX-49000000
Above 49.5 million
kalshi · KXUAL-26JULPAX-49500000
Above 50 million
kalshi · KXUAL-26JULPAX-50000000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.568
Observability
high
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.