SimpleFunctions
KalshiAug 14, 2026103 days left

Will United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 47 million passengers in Q2 2026?

This contract is priced at 50¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 44¢ bid, 51¢ ask, 7¢ spread.

Implied probability

50¢
$493 volume
$423 liquidity
657% of event volume

Event outcomes

8

Family volume

$75

Best sibling

Above 46.5 million 60¢

Ticker

KXUAL-26JULPAX-47000000.0

Price history

50¢ current

+16¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 23, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

44 / 51¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
44¢17
43¢201
22¢52
21¢200
20¢1.0K
AskSize
51¢200
79¢9
80¢48
81¢84
84¢401

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If United Airlines Holdings Inc. reports Above 47000000.0 passengers in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 14, 2026

Identifier

KXUAL-26JULPAX-47000000.0

Event family

Will United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 4.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$75

Outcomes

8

Highest price

Above 45 million 85¢

Current share

51%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

450.5%

IY (No)

278.1%

Adj IY

200%

CRI

1

Overround

2.8%

LAS

0.11

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

450.5%
278.1%
Adj IY
200%
1
Overround
2.8%
LAS
0.11

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