SimpleFunctions
KalshiAug 14, 2026103 days left

Will United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 48.5 million passengers in Q2 2026?

This contract is priced at 8¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 5¢ spread.

Implied probability

8¢
$1 volume
$1 liquidity
1% of event volume

Event outcomes

8

Family volume

$75

Best sibling

Above 47 million 44¢

Ticker

KXUAL-26JULPAX-48500000.0

Price history

8¢ current

+6¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 23, 2026Apr 27, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

6 / 11¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
100¢558
6¢1
5¢200
2¢200
AskSize
11¢5
12¢200
24¢1
75¢84
78¢595

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If United Airlines Holdings Inc. reports Above 48500000.0 passengers in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 14, 2026

Identifier

KXUAL-26JULPAX-48500000.0

Event family

Will United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 4.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$75

Outcomes

8

Highest price

Above 45 million 85¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

5545.9%

IY (No)

22.6%

Adj IY

462%

CRI

16

Overround

2.8%

LAS

0.83

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

5545.9%
22.6%
Adj IY
462%
16
Overround
2.8%
LAS
0.83

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