Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by June 5?
This contract is priced at 11¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 4¢ bid, 22¢ ask, 18¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
5
Family volume
$41K
Best sibling
375M 84¢
Ticker
0x718135d5…fcf7
Price history
11¢ current
+4¢Orderbook snapshot
4 / 22¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Energy Information Administration publishes a weekly figure for U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve less than or equal to the specified value for any week ending on or before June 5, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before June 5, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached. If data has not been released for the final week ending on or before June 5 2026, by June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W. Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Identifier
0x718135d5…fcf7
Event family
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by June 5.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$41K
Outcomes
5
Highest price
375M 84¢
Current share
24%
325M
polymarket · 0x718135d518c397ffca20bc77405eca43e439b8958c286149992dafe4f82dfcf7
375M
polymarket · 0xd5cfe69869eee679f5b750e0da0518b9d66156e200efa9407ddf25b18fee641f
350M
polymarket · 0x351b328835e3ff4d574ae836c9842a7dd72bad929d990098ce0976fb794fab9e
275M
polymarket · 0x2db76ff226e5eb35295c6b701ba939f911a8c69cab4b406dfb9ebe40da40844f
300M
polymarket · 0x3157cfa44e8a866095918d7c383503aeb5faaa42e0d626281e98b1c6991aeab4
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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