Will US tariff revenue for 2026 be above $250 billion?
This contract is priced at 50¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 34¢ bid, 49¢ ask, 15¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
6
Family volume
$25
Best sibling
Above $100 billion 90¢
Ticker
KXTARIFFREVENUE-26DEC31-T250
Market snapshot
Above $250 billion in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will US tariff revenue for 2026 be above $250 billion?. The displayed quote is 50¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $19. In the Will US tariff revenue for 2026 be above $ family, this outcome ranks #6 of 6 by current quote across 6 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC.
Outcome
Above $250 billion
Family rank
#6 of 6
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
50¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jun 1, 2027
24h volume
$19
Family context
6 outcomes · Will US tariff revenue for 2026 be above $
Quote range
34¢-90¢
Family leader
Above $100 billion 90¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC · 8m ago
Venue identifier: KXTARIFFREVENUE-26DEC31-T250. Family volume: $25.
Price history
50¢ current
+15¢Orderbook snapshot
34 / 49¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If US tariff revenue for 2026 is above $250 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 1, 2027
Identifier
KXTARIFFREVENUE-26DEC31-T250
Event family
Will US tariff revenue for 2026 be above $.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$25
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Above $100 billion 90¢
Current share
76%
Above $250 billion
kalshi · KXTARIFFREVENUE-26DEC31-T250
Above $100 billion
kalshi · KXTARIFFREVENUE-26DEC31-T100
Above $80 billion
kalshi · KXTARIFFREVENUE-26DEC31-T80
Above $125 billion
kalshi · KXTARIFFREVENUE-26DEC31-T125
Above $150 billion
kalshi · KXTARIFFREVENUE-26DEC31-T150
Above $200 billion
kalshi · KXTARIFFREVENUE-26DEC31-T200
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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