Will UST Par Yield Curve (30Y) for Q2 2026 be above 4.70%?
This contract is priced at 48¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 9¢ bid, 87¢ ask, 78¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
16
Family volume
$3
Best sibling
Above 4.40% 90¢
Ticker
KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30-T4.70
Market snapshot
Above 4.70% in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will UST Par Yield Curve (30Y) for Q2 2026 be above 4.70%?. The displayed quote is 48¢ from the visible bid/ask midpoint because the last venue price is zero. In the Will UST Par Yield Curve (30Y) for Q2 2026 be above family, this outcome ranks #12 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC.
Outcome
Above 4.70%
Family rank
#12 of 16
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
48¢
Quote source
Bid/ask midpoint
Timing
Listed until Jun 30, 2026
Reported volume
—
Family context
16 outcomes · Will UST Par Yield Curve (30Y) for Q2 2026 be above
Quote range
5¢-94¢
Family leader
Above 4.00% 94¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 10m ago
Venue identifier: KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30-T4.70. Family volume: $3.
Price history
48¢ current
+45¢Orderbook snapshot
9 / 87¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If U.S. Treasury Daily Yield Curve Rate (30 Yr) for June 30, 2026 (end of Q2 2026) is above 4.70%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Identifier
KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30-T4.70
Event family
Will UST Par Yield Curve (30Y) for Q2 2026 be above.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$3
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Above 4.00% 94¢
Current share
0%
Above 4.70%
kalshi · KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30-T4.70
Above 4.40%
kalshi · KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30-T4.40
Above 4.30%
kalshi · KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30-T4.30
Above 4.00%
kalshi · KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30-T4.00
Above 4.10%
kalshi · KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30-T4.10
Above 4.20%
kalshi · KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30-T4.20
Above 4.50%
kalshi · KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30-T4.50
Above 4.60%
kalshi · KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30-T4.60
Above 4.80%
kalshi · KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30-T4.80
Above 4.90%
kalshi · KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30-T4.90
Above 5.00%
kalshi · KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30-T5.00
Above 5.10%
kalshi · KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30-T5.10
Above 5.20%
kalshi · KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30-T5.20
Above 5.30%
kalshi · KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30-T5.30
Above 5.40%
kalshi · KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30-T5.40
Above 5.50%
kalshi · KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30-T5.50
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
financial
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