SimpleFunctions
KalshiJan 1, 2027237 days left

Will Warren Buffett be one of the three wealthiest people in the world?

This contract is priced at 5¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 21¢ ask, 18¢ spread.

Implied probability

5¢
$734 volume
$733 liquidity
10486% of event volume

Event outcomes

9

Family volume

$7

Best sibling

Larry Page 67¢

Ticker

KXTOP3WEALTH-26DEC31-WARR

Market snapshot

Warren Buffett in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Warren Buffett be one of the three wealthiest people in the world?. The displayed quote is 5¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $734. In the KXTOP3WEALTH-26DEC31 family, this outcome ranks #9 of 9 by current quote across 9 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

Warren Buffett

Family rank

#9 of 9

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jan 1, 2027

Reported volume

$734

Family context

9 outcomes · KXTOP3WEALTH-26DEC31

Quote range

3¢-96¢

Family leader

Elon Musk 96¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 6m ago

Venue identifier: KXTOP3WEALTH-26DEC31-WARR. Family volume: $7.

Price history

5¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 9, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

3 / 21¢

Kalshi
18¢ spread
BidSize
3¢388
AskSize
21¢360
40¢30
73¢30
74¢47
75¢728

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Warren Buffett is one of the three wealthiest people in the world on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXTOP3WEALTH-26DEC31-WARR

Event family

KXTOP3WEALTH-26DEC31.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$7

Outcomes

9

Highest price

Elon Musk 96¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

4979.8%

IY (No)

4.8%

Adj IY

2490%

CRI

32

Overround

1.6%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.568

Observability

high

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

4979.8%
4.8%
Adj IY
2490%
32
Overround
1.6%

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index