SimpleFunctions
KalshiOct 29, 2026179 days left

Will Washington have the worst record in Pro Baseball in the 2026 regular season?

This contract is priced at 11¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

11¢
$16K volume
$10K liquidity
425% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$4K

Best sibling

San Francisco 1¢

Ticker

KXMLBWORSTRECORD-26-WSH

Price history

11¢ current

3¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

10 / 11¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
10¢250
9¢356
5¢100
4¢100
3¢1
AskSize
11¢295
12¢44
14¢104
17¢96
18¢250

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Washington has the worst record in Pro Baseball during the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 29, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBWORSTRECORD-26-WSH

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2063.4%

IY (No)

20.2%

Adj IY

2063%

CRI

10

RV

1883%

VR

4.36

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

2063.4%
20.2%
Adj IY
2063%
10
RV
1883%
VR
4.36
IAR
3.6/h
Overround
-0.5%

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