SimpleFunctions
KalshiOct 29, 2026179 days left

Will New York M have the worst record in Pro Baseball in the 2026 regular season?

This contract is priced at 6¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 11¢ spread.

Implied probability

6¢
$13K volume
$9K liquidity
390% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$3K

Best sibling

San Francisco 1¢

Ticker

KXMLBWORSTRECORD-26-NYM

Price history

6¢ current

+3¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 17, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

3 / 14¢

Kalshi
11¢ spread
BidSize
100¢307
3¢1
2¢19
AskSize
14¢29
15¢5
17¢100
19¢98
20¢240

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If New York M has the worst record in Pro Baseball during the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 29, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBWORSTRECORD-26-NYM

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

6595.2%

IY (No)

6.3%

Adj IY

0%

CRI

32

RV

6898%

VR

8.70

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

6595.2%
6.3%
Adj IY
0%
32
RV
6898%
VR
8.70
IAR
1.5/h
Overround
-0.2%
LAS
1.00

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