SimpleFunctions

XRP trimmed mean above $2.00 by 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026

Above $2.00 is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 2¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 6 inside Will XRP trimmed mean be above $.

Price history

1¢ current

10¢
0¢25¢50¢
May 1, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026 is ever above $ 2.00, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $2.00

Rank

#5 of 6

Leader

Above $1.80 8¢

Range

1¢-8¢

Family volume

$8K

Identifier

KXXRPMAXMON-XRP-26MAY31-200

May 28, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 28m ago

Implied probability

1¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 28m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

24h volume

$20

Family rank

#5 of 6

6 outcomes · Will XRP trimmed mean be above $

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Family volume

$8K

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 2¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
2¢9
4¢1.3K
5¢1
6¢1
8¢500

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026 is ever above $ 2.00, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Identifier

KXXRPMAXMON-XRP-26MAY31-200

SF Signal
SF Index
50000.00
Regime
taker

Event family

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$8K

Outcomes

6

Highest price

Above $1.80 8¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

13

Overround

-0.7%

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

13
Overround
-0.7%

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogcrypto

How Bitcoin & Ethereum Crypto 2026 Price Prediction Markets Are Pricing the Next Leg of the Cycle

Deep-dive for crypto investors and traders into Bitcoin and Ethereum 2026 price prediction markets. Learn how BTC/ETH halving base rates, ETF flows, DeFi/L2 growth, and global regulation shape market-implied odds for 2026 price targets.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Blogmacro

Venezuela Oil Production, PDVSA 2026 Sanctions & Prediction Markets: What the Odds Are Really Pricing In

In-depth analysis of Venezuela oil production and PDVSA through 2026, U.S. sanctions and Chevron licenses, China/Russia oil-for-loans, infrastructure constraints, and how prediction markets are pricing future Venezuelan supply.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.