SimpleFunctions
KalshiJun 1, 202620 days left

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $1.90 by 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 11¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

11¢
$6K volume
$4K liquidity
21% of event volume

Event outcomes

7

Family volume

$29K

Best sibling

Above $1.70 19¢

Ticker

KXXRPMAXMON-XRP-26MAY31-190

Market snapshot

Above $1.90 in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will XRP trimmed mean be above $1.90 by 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026?. The displayed quote is 11¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $365. In the Will XRP trimmed mean be above $ family, this outcome ranks #4 of 7 by current quote across 7 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 7:23 PM UTC.

Outcome

Above $1.90

Family rank

#4 of 7

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

11¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jun 1, 2026

24h volume

$365

Family context

7 outcomes · Will XRP trimmed mean be above $

Quote range

7¢-40¢

Family leader

Above $1.60 40¢

Last updated

May 11, 2026, 7:23 PM UTC · 5m ago

Venue identifier: KXXRPMAXMON-XRP-26MAY31-190. Family volume: $29K.

Price history

11¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 1, 2026May 10, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

10 / 11¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
10¢2.8K
9¢684
4¢1.1K
3¢3.1K
2¢400
AskSize
11¢1.4K
12¢231
13¢3.0K
34¢41
35¢55

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026 is ever above $ 1.90, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Identifier

KXXRPMAXMON-XRP-26MAY31-190

SF Signal
SF Index
14521.83
Regime
taker

Event family

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$29K

Outcomes

7

Highest price

Above $1.60 40¢

Current share

1%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

16135.4%

IY (No)

199.2%

Adj IY

14522%

CRI

9

RV

9525%

VR

3.43

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

16135.4%
199.2%
Adj IY
14522%
9
RV
9525%
VR
3.43
IAR
5.8/h
Overround
0.1%
LAS
0.10

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.