SimpleFunctions
KalshiJun 1, 202620 days left

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $2.10 by 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 8¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 7¢ bid, 8¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

8¢
$29K volume
$17K liquidity
100% of event volume

Event outcomes

7

Family volume

$29K

Best sibling

Above $1.70 19¢

Ticker

KXXRPMAXMON-XRP-26MAY31-210

Market snapshot

Above $2.10 in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will XRP trimmed mean be above $2.10 by 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026?. The displayed quote is 8¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $3K. In the Will XRP trimmed mean be above $ family, this outcome ranks #6 of 7 by current quote across 7 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 7:23 PM UTC.

Outcome

Above $2.10

Family rank

#6 of 7

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jun 1, 2026

24h volume

$3K

Family context

7 outcomes · Will XRP trimmed mean be above $

Quote range

7¢-40¢

Family leader

Above $1.60 40¢

Last updated

May 11, 2026, 7:23 PM UTC · 5m ago

Venue identifier: KXXRPMAXMON-XRP-26MAY31-210. Family volume: $29K.

Price history

8¢ current

3¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 1, 2026May 10, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

7 / 8¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
7¢4.8K
6¢500
5¢19
4¢25
2¢1.1K
AskSize
8¢2.0K
10¢77
11¢278
12¢3.0K
13¢125

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026 is ever above $ 2.10, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Identifier

KXXRPMAXMON-XRP-26MAY31-210

SF Signal
SF Index
20415.16
Regime
taker

Event family

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$29K

Outcomes

7

Highest price

Above $1.60 40¢

Current share

10%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

23818.9%

IY (No)

134.9%

Adj IY

20415%

CRI

13

RV

1743%

VR

1.04

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

23818.9%
134.9%
Adj IY
20415%
13
RV
1743%
VR
1.04
IAR
1.0/h
Overround
0.1%
LAS
0.14

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.