América de Cali vs. Deportivo Pereira - More Markets
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 29% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
29%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
−1pp
12h ago
24h volume
$20
20 contracts
Closes
May 7, 2026
3 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 8% of their title tokens — “Club Alianza Atlético vs. América de Cali” vs “Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Club Bolívar - More Markets”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Club Alianza Atlético vs. América de Cali
Club Alianza Atlético vs. América de Cali: Club Alianza Atlético
0xe3443c…fce3
Club Alianza Atlético vs. América de Cali: América de Cali
0x434862…9046
Club Alianza Atlético vs. América de Cali - More Markets: América de Cali (-1.5)
0x96b339…c2ac
Club Alianza Atlético vs. América de Cali - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x80dc4f…a83e
Club Alianza Atlético vs. América de Cali - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xfab9ac…a061
Club Alianza Atlético vs. América de Cali - More Markets: Club Alianza Atlético (-2.5)
0xef168a…e777
Club Alianza Atlético vs. América de Cali - More Markets: América de Cali (-2.5)
0x29a631…e20d
Club Alianza Atlético vs. América de Cali - More Markets: Club Alianza Atlético (-1.5)
0x3f6143…9432
Club Alianza Atlético vs. América de Cali - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x823331…d919
Club Alianza Atlético vs. América de Cali - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xf11ea2…4b49
Club Alianza Atlético vs. América de Cali - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x5d229c…d749
Cluster 2
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Club Bolívar - More Markets
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Club Bolívar - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x7dbbcc…5def
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Club Bolívar - More Markets: Deportivo La Guaira FC (-2.5)
0x457f50…fc0a
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Club Bolívar - More Markets: Club Bolívar (-1.5)
0xf9ba9e…120c
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Club Bolívar - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xbd91ad…e563
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Club Bolívar - More Markets: Deportivo La Guaira FC (-1.5)
0xf2f098…756f
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Club Bolívar - More Markets: Club Bolívar (-2.5)
0x0a4cf4…a0fc
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Club Bolívar - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x751636…dd07
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Club Bolívar - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x235d60…e322
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Club Bolívar - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x918a9b…2eb7
Analysis
This probability reflects the estimated likelihood that additional betting markets will be created for an upcoming América de Cali vs. Deportivo Pereira match. At 30%, the market suggests moderately low confidence that this specific matchup will generate sufficient trading interest to warrant expanded market offerings beyond standard win-loss contracts. Market expansion typically depends on anticipated player availability, competitive stakes in the match, and broader betting platform activity during the Colombian football season. The resolution hinges on whether the match occurs as scheduled and whether platform operators determine sufficient demand exists to justify creating derivative contracts like handicap, over-under, or player-specific markets before or during the fixture.
- ›Trading volume on existing América de Cali vs. Deportivo Pereira contracts relative to comparable Colombian football matches during the same period
- ›Whether the fixture falls during a high-profile tournament phase (Copa Sudamericana, domestic league critical matches) versus routine regular-season play
- ›Historical frequency of multi-market expansion for similar Colombian club matchups on this platform in prior seasons
- ›Current status of key player availability for both clubs, which typically correlates with market depth decisions
- ›Polymarket activity trends for Latin American football in the week preceding the scheduled match date
Recently closed in general
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 2 min ago.