Bengaluru FC vs. Mumbai City FC - More Markets
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 33% across 9 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
33%
9 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$1K
9 contracts
Closes
May 6, 2026
1 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 9 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Palestino - More Markets
Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Palestino - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xe10577…46f4
Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Palestino - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x69428f…bd63
Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Palestino - More Markets: Montevideo City Torque (-1.5)
0xfaa73b…37c0
Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Palestino - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x1e7321…d227
Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Palestino - More Markets: Montevideo City Torque (-2.5)
0x6a797b…580f
Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Palestino - More Markets: CD Palestino (-1.5)
0x3516b5…3b92
Cluster 2
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets
What moved the line
- May 3Yokohama FC (-2.5)↑4pp34→38¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 9 min ago.