What will Donald Trump say during CNBC
Leader sits at 87% across 12 bound outcomes, runner-up at 79%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
Iran (5+ times)
Outcomes
12
winner-take-all
Runner-up
79¢
China / Chinese
Spread
8pp
contested
24h volume
$217K
liquid
Closes
Jun 6, 2026
9 days
Venue
Kalshi
12 bound
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
What will Donald Trump say during THE PRESIDENT participates in a Cabinet Meeting
What will Donald Trump say during THE PRESIDENT participates in a Cabinet Meeting?: Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency
KXTRUMPMENTION-26MAY27-CRYP
What will Donald Trump say during THE PRESIDENT participates in a Cabinet Meeting?: Iran (5+ times)
KXTRUMPMENTION-26MAY27-IRAN
What will Donald Trump say during THE PRESIDENT participates in a Cabinet Meeting?: Peace
KXTRUMPMENTION-26MAY27-PEAC
What will Donald Trump say during THE PRESIDENT participates in a Cabinet Meeting?: Prediction Market / Predictive Market
KXTRUMPMENTION-26MAY27-PRED
What will Donald Trump say during THE PRESIDENT participates in a Cabinet Meeting?: Ceasefire
KXTRUMPMENTION-26MAY27-CEAS
What will Donald Trump say during THE PRESIDENT participates in a Cabinet Meeting?: Afford / Affordable / Affordability
KXTRUMPMENTION-26MAY27-AFFO
What will Donald Trump say during THE PRESIDENT participates in a Cabinet Meeting?: Transgender
KXTRUMPMENTION-26MAY27-TRAN
What will Donald Trump say during THE PRESIDENT participates in a Cabinet Meeting?: Blockade
KXTRUMPMENTION-26MAY27-BLOC
What will Donald Trump say during THE PRESIDENT participates in a Cabinet Meeting?: NATO
KXTRUMPMENTION-26MAY27-NATO
What will Donald Trump say during THE PRESIDENT participates in a Cabinet Meeting?: China / Chinese
KXTRUMPMENTION-26MAY27-CHIN
What will Donald Trump say during THE PRESIDENT participates in a Cabinet Meeting?: Fake News
KXTRUMPMENTION-26MAY27-FAKE
What will Donald Trump say during THE PRESIDENT participates in a Cabinet Meeting?: Gas / Gasoline
KXTRUMPMENTION-26MAY27-GAS
Recently closed in trump
- Who will Trump talk to in Aprillast 3% · 5d
- How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump National Golf Club Washington, D.C. in Aug 2026last 38% · 16d
- Will Trump nominate Stephen Hahn as FDA commissionerlast 49% · 17d
- Who will be Trump's next Attorney Generallast 97% · 28d
- Will President Trump issue any executive action on declassifying or releasing records related to unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) or UFOs before Jul 1, 2026last 3% · 36d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Other questions in trump.
In trump
Related reading
Trump administration and Press Secretary speculation dominate political markets
The market for the next White House Press Secretary is the single highest-volume market in the entire dataset, with Maria Bartiromo leading at 14¢. Other Trump-focused markets on resignation and impeachment are also active, signaling intense trader interest in the political landscape.
Trump Administration Turmoil: Hegseth Departure Odds at 31%
Pete Hegseth's probability of leaving the Defense Secretary role before 2027 is 31¢ with 31,585 volume. Combined with 15¢ impeachment odds, markets are pricing a non-trivial chance of major upheaval.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: just now.