Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara - More Markets: SC Sagamihara (-1.5)
Leader sits at 66% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 51%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
9
winner-take-all
Runner-up
51¢
Both Teams to Score
Spread
15pp
contested
24h volume
$0
thin orderbook
Closes
May 6, 2026
2 days
Venue
Polymarket
9 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara - More Markets
Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara - More Markets: SC Sagamihara (-2.5)
0xa862ed…0185
Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xf4a1b8…1c5d
Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x7b0fa0…94f0
Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x72dcd3…9505
Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xb586da…85d1
Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara - More Markets: Blaublitz Akita (-1.5)
0x0a2d11…a06a
Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x78f941…ce45
Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara - More Markets: Blaublitz Akita (-2.5)
0xc9e19c…0bb4
Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara - More Markets: SC Sagamihara (-1.5)
0xb700dd…1d5e
Analysis
This market prices the probability that SC Sagamihara will win by more than 1.5 goals against Blaublitz Akita at 36%. The current probability reflects relatively low confidence in a decisive Sagamihara victory, suggesting the match is expected to be competitive or that Akita has meaningful chances to either win or keep the margin narrow. The pricing could shift based on team form leading into the match, injury reports, or recent head-to-head performance. The market will resolve when the match concludes and the final goal differential is recorded. Key drivers include whether Sagamihara maintains recent offensive efficiency, how well Akita's defense performs under pressure, and home-field advantage effects if applicable. Liquidity and trading volume appear modest across related contracts, which is typical for lower-tier Japanese football markets.
- ›SC Sagamihara's goal-scoring rate and conversion efficiency in recent league matches
- ›Blaublitz Akita's defensive record and goals-conceded average over the current season
- ›Head-to-head historical results between these two clubs if available
- ›Team injury status and roster availability for both sides prior to match day
- ›Home vs. away performance patterns for both teams in the current season
Recently closed in general
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 10 min ago.