SimpleFunctions
Winner-take-all · 9 outcomes9 contractsPolymarketrefreshed 23 min agoCloses May 5, 2026 · 2d38pp · 7h

Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeju SK FC - More Markets

Leader sits at 67% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 48%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.

Leader probability

67%

O/U 1.5

runner-up 48¢leader 67¢

Outcomes

9

winner-take-all

Runner-up

48¢

Both Teams to Score

Spread

19pp

contested

24h volume

$80

thin orderbook

Closes

May 5, 2026

2 days

Venue

Polymarket

9 bound

30-day trend

0%50%100%-30d-3w-2w-1wtodayO/U 1.5: 68% (3 days, 2 points)O/U 1.5: 68% on 2026-05-03Both Teams to Score: 46% (3 days, 2 points)Both Teams to Score: 46% on 2026-05-02O/U 2.5: 39% (3 days, 3 points)O/U 2.5: 39% on 2026-05-03
O/U 1.568¢Both Teams to Score46¢O/U 2.539¢
Top 3 candidates by current price · 3d

Bracket family

How the bracket ladder is priced.

Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.

Analysis

This market reflects a 29% probability that the Bucheon FC 1995 versus Jeju SK FC match will have more than 2.5 goals scored. The current odds suggest bookmakers and traders view this matchup as likely to produce 2 or fewer goals. Goal totals in Korean K League matches are shaped primarily by each team's recent offensive output, defensive record, and head-to-head scoring patterns. Weather conditions on match day and squad availability through injuries could also influence scoring volume. The match result will be determined when the final whistle sounds, at which point the total goals scored will be definitively counted against the 2.5 threshold. Low trading volume ($50 in 24-hour activity) suggests limited market depth, which can amplify price movements if new information emerges about team form or lineup changes closer to kickoff.

  • Bucheon FC 1995's average goals per game this season compared to their defensive concession rate
  • Jeju SK FC's offensive capabilities and defensive record in recent fixtures
  • Historical goal totals in previous meetings between these two teams
  • Current squad injury status and confirmed absences for key attacking or defensive players
  • Weather forecast and pitch conditions for the scheduled match date

What moved the line

  • May 2Jeju SK FC (-2.5)23pp3613¢ · Polymarket
  • May 2Bucheon FC 1995 (-2.5)16pp3620¢ · Polymarket
  • May 3Jeju SK FC (-1.5)14pp2612¢ · Polymarket
  • May 3O/U 4.513pp218¢ · Polymarket
  • May 2O/U 2.512pp5341¢ · Polymarket

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 23 min ago.