CA Barracas Central vs. Audax CS Italiano - More Markets: CA Barracas Central (-1.5)
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 27% across 19 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
27%
19 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$5
19 contracts
Top contract
30¢
$5 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
4 clusters across 19 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 25% of their title tokens — “CA Barracas Central vs. Club Olimpia” vs “CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad - More Markets”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
CA Barracas Central vs. Club Olimpia
CA Barracas Central vs. Club Olimpia - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x09165e…4af3
CA Barracas Central vs. Club Olimpia: CA Barracas Central
0x3e3347…45e9
CA Barracas Central vs. Club Olimpia: Draw (CA Barracas Central vs. Club Olimpia)
0x56b99e…e1d8
CA Barracas Central vs. Club Olimpia - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xa27982…f72c
CA Barracas Central vs. Club Olimpia - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x30e102…51a6
CA Barracas Central vs. Club Olimpia - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x1a4935…521c
CA Barracas Central vs. Club Olimpia - More Markets: CA Barracas Central (-2.5)
0xdb3d67…d50e
CA Barracas Central vs. Club Olimpia - More Markets: Club Olimpia (-2.5)
0x86e768…09e0
CA Barracas Central vs. Club Olimpia - More Markets: Club Olimpia (-1.5)
0x82b4d2…891c
CA Barracas Central vs. Club Olimpia - More Markets: CA Barracas Central (-1.5)
0xb1c84f…49ab
CA Barracas Central vs. Club Olimpia - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x1765d6…36ed
Cluster 2
CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad - More Markets
CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x80fa15…067d
CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x5a58b8…8891
CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad - More Markets: CA Rosario Central (-2.5)
0x178a18…e4f2
CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xb4dcaf…a97b
CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x8f0caa…5dd3
Cluster 3
Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Independiente del Valle - More Markets
Cluster 4
Audax CS Italiano vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Audax CS Italiano
Audax CS Italiano vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Audax CS Italiano
0x77b494…b472
What moved the line
- May 3CA Rosario Central (-2.5)↑4pp19→23¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 6 min ago.