Chicago Stars FC vs. Boston Legacy FC
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 42% across 20 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
42%
20 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$6K
20 contracts
Top contract
14¢
$2K · Kalshi
30-day trend
Bracket families
9 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Will Boston Breach win
Will Boston Breach win the Boston Breach vs. Paris Gentle Mates match?: Boston Breach
KXCODGAME-26MAY031800BOSPAR-BOS
Will Boston Breach win map 1 in the Boston Breach vs. Paris Gentle Mates match?: Boston Breach
KXCODMAP-26MAY031800BOSPAR-1-BOS
Will Boston Breach win map 2 in the Boston Breach vs. Paris Gentle Mates match?: Boston Breach
KXCODMAP-26MAY031800BOSPAR-2-BOS
Will Boston Breach win map 3 in the Boston Breach vs. Paris Gentle Mates match?: Boston Breach
KXCODMAP-26MAY031800BOSPAR-3-BOS
Cluster 2
Will LOUD win
Will LOUD win the Vivo Keyd Stars vs. LOUD League of Legends match?: LOUD
KXLOLGAME-26MAY031500VKSLLL-LLL
Will LOUD win map 2 in the Vivo Keyd Stars vs. LOUD match?: LOUD
KXLOLMAP-26MAY031500VKSLLL-2-LLL
Will LOUD win map 1 in the Vivo Keyd Stars vs. LOUD match?: LOUD
KXLOLMAP-26MAY031500VKSLLL-1-LLL
Cluster 3
Will Paris Gentle Mates win
Will Paris Gentle Mates win the Boston Breach vs. Paris Gentle Mates match?: Paris Gentle Mates
KXCODGAME-26MAY031800BOSPAR-PAR
Will Paris Gentle Mates win map 2 in the Boston Breach vs. Paris Gentle Mates match?: Paris Gentle Mates
KXCODMAP-26MAY031800BOSPAR-2-PAR
Will Paris Gentle Mates win map 1 in the Boston Breach vs. Paris Gentle Mates match?: Paris Gentle Mates
KXCODMAP-26MAY031800BOSPAR-1-PAR
Cluster 4
Will Vivo Keyd Stars
Will Vivo Keyd Stars win the Vivo Keyd Stars vs. LOUD League of Legends match?: Vivo Keyd Stars
KXLOLGAME-26MAY031500VKSLLL-VKS
Will Vivo Keyd Stars win map 2 in the Vivo Keyd Stars vs. LOUD match?: Vivo Keyd Stars
KXLOLMAP-26MAY031500VKSLLL-2-VKS
Will Vivo Keyd Stars Academy win map 2 in the Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs. 7REX match?: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy
KXLOLMAP-26MAY041900VKSA7RE-2-VKSA
Cluster 5
Boston Legacy FC vs Denver Summit FC Winner
Cluster 6
Will 7REX win
Cluster 7
Will over 3.5 maps be played in the Boston Breach vs. Paris Gentle Mates Call of Duty match
Cluster 8
Will over 2.5 maps be played in the Vivo Keyd Stars vs. LOUD League of Legends match
Cluster 9
Will over 4.5 maps be played in the Boston Breach vs. Paris Gentle Mates Call of Duty match
What moved the line
- May 3Vivo Keyd Stars↑43pp12→55¢ · Kalshi
- May 1Vivo Keyd Stars↓32pp44→12¢ · Kalshi
- May 1Over 3.5 maps↑26pp2→28¢ · Kalshi
- May 3Vivo Keyd Stars Academy↑23pp29→52¢ · Kalshi
- May 2Over 3.5 maps↑18pp28→46¢ · Kalshi
Recently closed in general
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 4 min ago.