Chile Primera

30-day trend

Analysis

This represents the probability that Cobresal wins the Chile Primera championship. Currently, five different teams—Cobresal, Audax Italiano, Palestino, Universidad de Chile, and Colo-Colo—are each priced at approximately 48%, indicating substantial uncertainty about which team will ultimately claim the title. The pricing reflects competitive parity among these contenders, with no single team commanding a clear consensus advantage. Market participants appear to be weighing recent team performance, remaining fixture difficulty, and current league standings equally across the top challengers. The championship will be decided through the completion of the regular season and any subsequent playoff structure required by the league's format. Trading activity remains minimal, suggesting limited recent information flow or market interest driving new price discovery.

• ›Current points differential between the five 48%-priced teams and their distance from first place
• ›Strength of schedule for each contender over the remaining matches in the 2026 season
• ›Historical win rates and head-to-head records among Cobresal, Audax Italiano, Palestino, Universidad de Chile, and Colo-Colo
• ›Injury status and squad depth variations that could affect performance down the stretch
• ›League playoff format specifications—whether the title is determined solely by points or requires additional rounds

What moved the line

• May 2Winner: Huachipato↑3pp45→48¢ · Polymarket
• Apr 30Winner: Deportes La Serena↓3pp48→45¢ · Polymarket
• May 1Winner: Colo-Colo↓3pp50→47¢ · Polymarket
• Apr 30Winner: Palestino↓3pp48→45¢ · Polymarket
• Apr 30Winner: Cobresal↓3pp48→45¢ · Polymarket

Recently closed in general

• Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

How we compute these odds