Will the copper close price be above 5.94 USD/Lbs on Apr 22, 2026 at 5pm EDT
Leader sits at 90% across 20 bound outcomes, runner-up at 90%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
above $5.68
Outcomes
20
winner-take-all
Runner-up
90¢
above $5.60
Spread
0pp
contested
24h volume
$4K
modest
Closes
May 29, 2026
26 days
Venue
Kalshi
20 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Will the copper close price be above 5
Will the copper close price be above 5.92 USD/Lbs on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.92
KXCOPPERD-26MAY0417-T5.92
Will the copper close price be above 5.96 USD/Lbs on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.96
KXCOPPERD-26MAY0417-T5.96
Will the copper close price be above 5.68 USD/Lbs on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.68
KXCOPPERD-26MAY0417-T5.68
Will the copper close price be above 5.94 USD/Lbs on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.94
KXCOPPERD-26MAY0417-T5.94
Will the copper close price be above 5.82 USD/Lbs on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.82
KXCOPPERD-26MAY0417-T5.82
Will the copper close price be above 5.66 USD/Lbs on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.66
KXCOPPERD-26MAY0417-T5.66
Will the copper close price be above 5.64 USD/Lbs on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.64
KXCOPPERD-26MAY0417-T5.64
Will the copper close price be above 5.62 USD/Lbs on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.62
KXCOPPERD-26MAY0417-T5.62
Will the copper close price be above 5.88 USD/Lbs on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.88
KXCOPPERD-26MAY0417-T5.88
Will the copper close price be above 5.90 USD/Lbs on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.90
KXCOPPERD-26MAY0417-T5.90
Will the copper close price be above 5.84 USD/Lbs on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.84
KXCOPPERD-26MAY0417-T5.84
Will the copper close price be above 5.86 USD/Lbs on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.86
KXCOPPERD-26MAY0417-T5.86
Will the copper close price be above 5.98 USD/Lbs on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.98
KXCOPPERD-26MAY0417-T5.98
Will the copper close price be above 5.80 USD/Lbs on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.80
KXCOPPERD-26MAY0417-T5.80
Will the copper close price be above 5.78 USD/Lbs on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.78
KXCOPPERD-26MAY0417-T5.78
Will the copper close price be above 5.76 USD/Lbs on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.76
KXCOPPERD-26MAY0417-T5.76
Will the copper close price be above 5.74 USD/Lbs on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.74
KXCOPPERD-26MAY0417-T5.74
Will the copper close price be above 5.72 USD/Lbs on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.72
KXCOPPERD-26MAY0417-T5.72
Will the copper close price be above 5.70 USD/Lbs on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.70
KXCOPPERD-26MAY0417-T5.70
Will the copper close price be above 5.60 USD/Lbs on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $5.60
KXCOPPERD-26MAY0417-T5.60
What moved the line
- May 2above $5.60↓14pp90→76¢ · Kalshi
- May 2above $5.62↓13pp89→76¢ · Kalshi
- May 3above $5.68↑10pp82→92¢ · Kalshi
- May 2above $5.64↓9pp90→81¢ · Kalshi
- May 3above $5.96↑7pp28→35¢ · Kalshi
Recently closed in general
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 2 min ago.