Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Jeju SK FC
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 30% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
30%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$449
20 contracts
Closes
Dec 20, 2026
231 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
5 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC” vs “Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeju SK FC - More Markets”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC: Incheon United FC
0x10cbc2…77dd
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC
0x76a37b…687c
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x5d58f6…ee3d
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC - More Markets: Incheon United FC (-2.5)
0x4ce71d…a7ed
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC - More Markets: Incheon United FC (-1.5)
0x8d81ee…e872
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x322393…b00a
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x110c54…a329
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC: Draw (Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC)
0x747211…dabc
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC - More Markets: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-2.5)
0x2db8ba…2d23
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC - More Markets: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-1.5)
0x1b4942…ebf9
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x14ce80…b44a
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x73881e…c695
Cluster 2
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeju SK FC - More Markets
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeju SK FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x2226aa…408f
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeju SK FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x5174b7…7507
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeju SK FC - More Markets: Bucheon FC 1995 (-2.5)
0x20d294…b4df
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeju SK FC - More Markets: Bucheon FC 1995 (-1.5)
0x1860d0…02d3
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeju SK FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xc167b1…6fc3
Cluster 3
Ghana vs. Panama: Ghana
Ghana vs. Panama: Ghana
0x0256ef…e15d
Cluster 4
K-League: Winner: Daejeon Hana Citizen
K-League: Winner: Daejeon Hana Citizen
0xc8fac7…b8e0
Cluster 5
Croatia vs. Ghana: Croatia
Croatia vs. Ghana: Croatia
0x2cc359…3e93
What moved the line
- May 2Incheon United FC (-1.5)↓18pp35→17¢ · Polymarket
- May 2Incheon United FC (-2.5)↓17pp35→18¢ · Polymarket
- May 2Bucheon FC 1995 (-2.5)↓16pp36→20¢ · Polymarket
- May 2Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-2.5)↓14pp34→20¢ · Polymarket
- May 2O/U 2.5↓12pp53→41¢ · Polymarket
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 23 min ago.