Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 38% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
38%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$116
20 contracts
Closes
May 6, 2026
3 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC” vs “Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Dalian Yingbo FC
0x49cf3f…7a83
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Draw (Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC)
0x331ebc…bacc
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xd0a2f0…02d4
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x401619…be41
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xa6bb1f…bbaa
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x3ff606…2e24
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC - More Markets: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)
0xabf5f0…e2ae
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC - More Markets: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)
0xa820b4…50da
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC - More Markets: Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5)
0xbba24f…1e51
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x7eaf4e…d03e
Cluster 2
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Yunnan Yukun FC
0xf9ca09…9d93
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xc6f8d0…d7bf
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xc0a65a…2079
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC - More Markets: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)
0xeeea9e…2ed8
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xf85773…31fe
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xf96b06…6e4f
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Zhejiang Zhiye FC
0xd6f0e5…56f3
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC - More Markets: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)
0x869a6a…4522
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x0d664c…58cb
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Draw (Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC)
0xe3c328…a6ac
What moved the line
- May 3Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)↑16pp17→33¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)↑13pp15→28¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)↑10pp14→24¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5)↑9pp20→29¢ · Polymarket
- May 2Draw (Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC)↓5pp36→31¢ · Polymarket
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 23 min ago.