SimpleFunctions
Winner-take-all · 4 outcomes4 contractsKalshirefreshed just now

Dogecoin price on Apr 24, 2026

Leader sits at 63% across 4 bound outcomes, runner-up at 58%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.

Leader probability

63%

$0.1 or above

runner-up 58¢leader 63¢

Outcomes

4

winner-take-all

Runner-up

58¢

$0.105 or above

Spread

5pp

contested

24h volume

$236

thin orderbook

Closes

not derived

Venue

Kalshi

4 bound

30-day trend

0%50%100%-30d-3w-2w-1wtoday$0.1 or above: 57% (3 days, 3 points)$0.1 or above: 57% on 2026-05-03$0.105 or above: 46% (3 days, 3 points)$0.105 or above: 46% on 2026-05-03$0.12 or above: 3% (3 days, 3 points)$0.12 or above: 3% on 2026-05-03
$0.1 or above57¢$0.105 or above46¢$0.12 or above3¢
Top 3 candidates by current price · 3d

Bracket family

How the bracket ladder is priced.

Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.

What moved the line

  • May 2$0.105 or above9pp5748¢ · Kalshi
  • May 2$0.12 or above7pp103¢ · Kalshi
  • May 3$0.1 or above5pp6257¢ · Kalshi

Recently closed in general

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

More like this

Adjacent prediction questions.

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: just now.