What will Lyft, Inc. say during their next earnings call

30-day trend

Analysis

This prediction measures the likelihood that Lyft will mention revenue in their next earnings call. At 53%, the market views it as roughly even odds. The probability reflects uncertainty around what metrics management prioritizes discussing—Lyft typically reports revenue as a standard measure, but emphasis levels vary by quarter depending on company strategy and market conditions. The primary driver moving this probability would be Lyft's actual earnings date and their prepared remarks, which would resolve the contract when management's statements are reviewed against the resolution criteria. Historical earnings call transcripts and guidance patterns also influence trader positioning. The contract resolves after Lyft's Q1 or Q2 2026 earnings call, depending on timing.

• ›Lyft's recent pattern of revenue disclosure in earnings calls and investor presentations
• ›Comparison contract on Palantir shows 86% probability for similar revenue guidance topics, suggesting market norms for major tech earnings
• ›Trading volume of $802 24h on this specific contract indicates moderate but not overwhelming interest relative to broader market activity
• ›Related Lyft contracts show 67% probability on revenue discussions, establishing baseline expectations for management commentary
• ›Earnings call date uncertainty and timing relative to market calendar affects when resolution occurs

What moved the line

• May 3Safety↓15pp59→44¢ · Kalshi
• May 3Mobileye↓12pp48→36¢ · Kalshi
• May 2Innovation↓11pp83→72¢ · Kalshi
• May 3Revenue↓10pp78→68¢ · Kalshi
• May 2Nvidia↓9pp70→61¢ · Kalshi

Recently closed in general

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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

How we compute these odds