SimpleFunctions
20 contractsPolymarketrefreshed 14 min ago

El Mokawloon El Arab SC vs. El Ittihad SC El Iskandary

Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 23% across 20 Polymarket contracts.

Implied probability

23%
0%50%100%

Kalshi

not bound

Polymarket

23%

20 contracts

Cross-venue gap

single venue

24h move

no pin

24h volume

$0

20 contracts

Top contract

$0 · Polymarket

30-day trend

0%50%100%-30d-3w-2w-1wtodayAggregate: 25% (5 days, 5 points)Aggregate: 25% on 2026-05-03
Aggregate of 20 contracts · 5d

Bracket families

2 clusters across 20 contracts.

These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.

Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters

The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “El Ittihad SC El Iskandary vs. Petrojet SC” vs “Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.

Cluster 1

El Ittihad SC El Iskandary vs. Petrojet SC

11 contracts$0

Cluster 2

Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC

9 contracts$0

What moved the line

  • May 3Pharco FC5pp2429¢ · Polymarket
  • May 3El Mokawloon El Arab SC (-2.5)5pp94¢ · Polymarket
  • May 3El Ittihad SC El Iskandary (-2.5)4pp117¢ · Polymarket
  • May 2El Mokawloon El Arab SC (-2.5)4pp139¢ · Polymarket
  • May 1Draw (Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC)4pp3135¢ · Polymarket

Recently closed in general

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

More like this

Adjacent prediction questions.

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 14 min ago.