SimpleFunctions
19 contractsPolymarketrefreshed 4 min ago

FC Anyang vs. Bucheon FC 1995

Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 29% across 19 Polymarket contracts.

Implied probability

29%
0%50%100%

Kalshi

not bound

Polymarket

29%

19 contracts

Cross-venue gap

single venue

24h move

no pin

24h volume

$204

19 contracts

Top contract

56¢

$88 · Polymarket

30-day trend

0%50%100%-30d-3w-2w-1wtodayAggregate: 29% (3 days, 3 points)Aggregate: 29% on 2026-05-03
Aggregate of 19 contracts · 3d

Bracket families

2 clusters across 19 contracts.

These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.

Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters

The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeju SK FC” vs “FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.

Cluster 1

Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeju SK FC

12 contracts$106

Cluster 2

FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang

7 contracts$98

What moved the line

  • May 2Jeju SK FC (-2.5)23pp3613¢ · Polymarket
  • May 2Bucheon FC 1995 (-2.5)16pp3620¢ · Polymarket
  • May 3Jeju SK FC (-1.5)14pp2612¢ · Polymarket
  • May 3O/U 4.513pp218¢ · Polymarket
  • May 2O/U 2.512pp5341¢ · Polymarket

More like this

Adjacent prediction questions.

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 4 min ago.