FC Dallas vs. Minnesota United FC - More Markets
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 35% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
35%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$40
20 contracts
Top contract
24¢
$29 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
4 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC - More Markets
FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC - More Markets: Kōchi United SC (-2.5)
0xf3fbca…ff30
FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xf48e4b…939a
FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x2274e1…b6f2
FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xa5ce22…337e
FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC - More Markets: Kōchi United SC (-1.5)
0x288303…8cb2
FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x58385d…685c
Cluster 2
Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC - More Markets
Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC - More Markets: Fukushima United FC (-1.5)
0x37f47e…19c3
Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x2c9b2c…f16e
Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x799b41…e88e
Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xae2766…6491
Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC - More Markets: Fujieda MYFC (-1.5)
0xb2f97d…27c2
Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xe281be…c04a
Cluster 3
Kagoshima United FC vs. Ōita Trinita - More Markets
Kagoshima United FC vs. Ōita Trinita - More Markets: Kagoshima United FC (-1.5)
0x9d9d39…1252
Kagoshima United FC vs. Ōita Trinita - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x58a705…db3a
Kagoshima United FC vs. Ōita Trinita - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xc65258…6bb8
Kagoshima United FC vs. Ōita Trinita - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x439e35…82f7
Kagoshima United FC vs. Ōita Trinita - More Markets: Ōita Trinita (-1.5)
0x88fc7b…35d4
Cluster 4
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC - More Markets
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x5d58f6…ee3d
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC - More Markets: Incheon United FC (-2.5)
0x4ce71d…a7ed
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC - More Markets: Incheon United FC (-1.5)
0x8d81ee…e872
What moved the line
- May 2Incheon United FC (-1.5)↓18pp35→17¢ · Polymarket
- May 2Incheon United FC (-2.5)↓17pp35→18¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Incheon United FC (-1.5)↑8pp17→25¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Kōchi United SC (-1.5)↑5pp33→38¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Fukushima United FC (-1.5)↑5pp33→38¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 2 min ago.