Gainare Tottori vs. Roasso Kumamoto - More Markets
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 40% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
40%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$6
20 contracts
Top contract
35¢
$3 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “Giravanz Kitakyūshū vs. Roasso Kumamoto” vs “Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Giravanz Kitakyūshū vs. Roasso Kumamoto
Giravanz Kitakyūshū vs. Roasso Kumamoto: Draw (Giravanz Kitakyūshū vs. Roasso Kumamoto)
0xeb0a6c…e3e4
Giravanz Kitakyūshū vs. Roasso Kumamoto: Roasso Kumamoto
0xb333ae…847a
Giravanz Kitakyūshū vs. Roasso Kumamoto - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x59b299…2b8a
Giravanz Kitakyūshū vs. Roasso Kumamoto - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x0a8c9d…15b7
Giravanz Kitakyūshū vs. Roasso Kumamoto - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x9e0a79…5073
Giravanz Kitakyūshū vs. Roasso Kumamoto - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x1b2ae8…f42c
Giravanz Kitakyūshū vs. Roasso Kumamoto - More Markets: Roasso Kumamoto (-2.5)
0x13917b…2bc5
Giravanz Kitakyūshū vs. Roasso Kumamoto - More Markets: Giravanz Kitakyūshū (-1.5)
0x226e5a…44b2
Giravanz Kitakyūshū vs. Roasso Kumamoto - More Markets: Roasso Kumamoto (-1.5)
0x3e73dd…b26f
Giravanz Kitakyūshū vs. Roasso Kumamoto - More Markets: Giravanz Kitakyūshū (-2.5)
0x218550…9d13
Giravanz Kitakyūshū vs. Roasso Kumamoto - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xb972b7…e015
Cluster 2
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets: Gainare Tottori (-1.5)
0xe81828…a3a4
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets: Sagan Tosu (-2.5)
0x5900f7…c899
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xc62c80…3ca6
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x2d68ef…5be9
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets: Sagan Tosu (-1.5)
0xde051c…f56b
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets: Gainare Tottori (-2.5)
0x00cdc8…8c9f
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x57869b…5019
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xb085f4…d24e
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x719429…7984
What moved the line
- May 3Roasso Kumamoto (-1.5)↑5pp33→38¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Gainare Tottori (-1.5)↑4pp33→37¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Sagan Tosu (-2.5)↑4pp32→36¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Gainare Tottori (-2.5)↑3pp34→37¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Roasso Kumamoto (-2.5)↑3pp34→37¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 1 min ago.