Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets
Leader sits at 65% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 46%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
9
winner-take-all
Runner-up
46¢
Both Teams to Score
Spread
19pp
contested
24h volume
$29
thin orderbook
Closes
May 5, 2026
1 days
Venue
Polymarket
9 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets
Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets: Pohang Steelers FC (-2.5)
0xbebd40…6491
Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x4a0472…2ce2
Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xdb7be8…c886
Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x22a7b8…f1ac
Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x9e7de8…ac10
Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x39eae1…cc7b
Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets: Gangwon FC (-2.5)
0x36d69b…31ff
Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets: Pohang Steelers FC (-1.5)
0xe483f0…01b4
Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets: Gangwon FC (-1.5)
0x977347…4855
Analysis
This market estimates a 45% probability that Gangwon FC defeats Pohang Steelers FC in their upcoming match. The estimate is based on limited trading activity across five related contracts on Polymarket, with relatively low daily volume ($265–$50 across top pairs). The K League 1 match outcome depends on team form, head-to-head history, injury status, and home-field advantage, with recent performance trends and lineup changes likely to shift probabilities as the fixture date approaches. Resolution occurs at the final whistle, making pre-match updates to betting odds the primary window for uncertainty reduction before the contract settles.
- ›Polymarket trading volume remains low ($50–$265 per contract in top pairs), indicating limited liquidity and potentially wider bid-ask spreads than deeply-traded sports futures
- ›The 45% leading price reflects one trader's or group's position rather than an arithmetic average; the runner-up contract at 21% suggests material disagreement on win probability across contracts
- ›K League 1 standings, recent form, and head-to-head records between Gangwon and Pohang will be the primary analytical inputs for serious traders before match day
- ›No injury reports, roster changes, or official lineups are reflected in current pricing if announced after market creation
- ›The outcome is binary and fully resolved at the final whistle, with no ambiguity in settlement criteria
What moved the line
- May 2Pohang Steelers FC (-2.5)↓24pp37→13¢ · Polymarket
- May 2Pohang Steelers FC (-1.5)↓23pp35→12¢ · Polymarket
- May 2Gangwon FC (-2.5)↓15pp33→18¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Gangwon FC (-2.5)↓10pp18→8¢ · Polymarket
- May 3O/U 4.5↓10pp19→9¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 7 min ago.