Ghazl El Mahalla SC vs. Petrojet SC
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 32% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
32%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$0
20 contracts
Top contract
48¢
$0 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC” vs “El Ittihad SC El Iskandary vs. Petrojet SC”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC
Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x288ff0…3634
Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC: Tala'ea El Gaish SC
0xf309d5…6b6b
Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC - More Markets: Ghazl El Mahalla SC (-1.5)
0x38d77b…87c4
Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC - More Markets: Ghazl El Mahalla SC (-2.5)
0x058269…1b16
Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xbba7de…c1f0
Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC: Ghazl El Mahalla SC
0x052b58…a59e
Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC: Draw (Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC)
0x0fc637…0787
Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC - More Markets: Tala'ea El Gaish SC (-2.5)
0xc72274…aff4
Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC - More Markets: Tala'ea El Gaish SC (-1.5)
0xcfd8ae…56c9
Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x5e259b…9efe
Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xf2f172…fbe5
Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x7b51f5…9166
Cluster 2
El Ittihad SC El Iskandary vs. Petrojet SC
El Ittihad SC El Iskandary vs. Petrojet SC - More Markets: El Ittihad SC El Iskandary (-2.5)
0xafb432…8dea
El Ittihad SC El Iskandary vs. Petrojet SC: Draw (El Ittihad SC El Iskandary vs. Petrojet SC)
0xca68e4…af81
El Ittihad SC El Iskandary vs. Petrojet SC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xf71e94…8a49
El Ittihad SC El Iskandary vs. Petrojet SC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x164686…0320
El Ittihad SC El Iskandary vs. Petrojet SC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xf0e903…a07f
El Ittihad SC El Iskandary vs. Petrojet SC - More Markets: Petrojet SC (-1.5)
0x90ef07…5e4f
El Ittihad SC El Iskandary vs. Petrojet SC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x4b6d21…8c84
El Ittihad SC El Iskandary vs. Petrojet SC - More Markets: Petrojet SC (-2.5)
0x00ae07…df12
What moved the line
- May 3El Ittihad SC El Iskandary (-2.5)↓4pp11→7¢ · Polymarket
- May 2El Ittihad SC El Iskandary (-2.5)↓3pp14→11¢ · Polymarket
- May 2O/U 4.5↓3pp12→9¢ · Polymarket
- May 2Both Teams to Score↓3pp48→45¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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