SimpleFunctions
18 contractsPolymarketrefreshed 7 min ago

Ghazl El Mahalla SC vs. Petrojet SC - More Markets

Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 32% across 18 Polymarket contracts.

Implied probability

32%
0%50%100%

Kalshi

not bound

Polymarket

32%

18 contracts

Cross-venue gap

single venue

24h move

no pin

24h volume

$0

18 contracts

Top contract

33¢

$0 · Polymarket

30-day trend

0%50%100%-30d-3w-2w-1wtodayAggregate: 32% (3 days, 3 points)Aggregate: 32% on 2026-05-03
Aggregate of 18 contracts · 3d

Bracket families

2 clusters across 18 contracts.

These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.

Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters

The top two clusters share only 22% of their title tokens — “Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC - More Markets” vs “El Ittihad SC El Iskandary vs. Petrojet SC - More Markets”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.

Cluster 1

Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC - More Markets

9 contracts$0

Cluster 2

El Ittihad SC El Iskandary vs. Petrojet SC - More Markets

9 contracts$0

What moved the line

  • May 3El Ittihad SC El Iskandary (-2.5)4pp117¢ · Polymarket
  • May 3El Ittihad SC El Iskandary (-1.5)3pp1916¢ · Polymarket
  • May 2O/U 4.53pp129¢ · Polymarket
  • May 2Both Teams to Score3pp4845¢ · Polymarket
  • May 2El Ittihad SC El Iskandary (-2.5)3pp1411¢ · Polymarket

Recently closed in general

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

More like this

Adjacent prediction questions.

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 7 min ago.