Gwangju FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 31% across 20 contracts. Kalshi at 31%, Polymarket at 31%.
Implied probability
Kalshi
31%
2 contracts
Polymarket
31%
18 contracts
Cross-venue gap
0pp
tight
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$414
20 contracts
Top contract
28¢
$253 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
5 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC” vs “Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gwangju FC”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC: Incheon United FC
0x10cbc2…77dd
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC
0x76a37b…687c
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x5d58f6…ee3d
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC - More Markets: Incheon United FC (-2.5)
0x4ce71d…a7ed
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC - More Markets: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-1.5)
0x1b4942…ebf9
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x110c54…a329
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x14ce80…b44a
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC - More Markets: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-2.5)
0x2db8ba…2d23
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC - More Markets: Incheon United FC (-1.5)
0x8d81ee…e872
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x322393…b00a
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC: Draw (Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC)
0x747211…dabc
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x73881e…c695
Cluster 2
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gwangju FC
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gwangju FC: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC
0xdfea58…9e90
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gwangju FC: Draw (Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gwangju FC)
0xe6fc33…2250
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gwangju FC: Gwangju FC
0x4fa962…6fa1
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gwangju FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xd12dde…4dcd
Cluster 3
Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon Utd Winner
Cluster 4
Ghana vs. Panama: Ghana
Ghana vs. Panama: Ghana
0x0256ef…e15d
Cluster 5
K-League: Winner: Daejeon Hana Citizen
K-League: Winner: Daejeon Hana Citizen
0xc8fac7…b8e0
What moved the line
- May 2Incheon United FC (-1.5)↓18pp35→17¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Gwangju FC↓18pp28→10¢ · Polymarket
- May 2Incheon United FC (-2.5)↓17pp35→18¢ · Polymarket
- May 2Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-2.5)↓14pp34→20¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC↑9pp62→71¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 4 min ago.