Haras El Hodood SC vs. ZED FC - More Markets
Leader sits at 62% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 50%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
9
winner-take-all
Runner-up
50¢
Both Teams to Score
Spread
12pp
contested
24h volume
$0
thin orderbook
Closes
May 7, 2026
3 days
Venue
Polymarket
9 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Haras El Hodood SC vs. ZED FC - More Markets
Haras El Hodood SC vs. ZED FC - More Markets: Haras El Hodood SC (-1.5)
0xb14e19…075f
Haras El Hodood SC vs. ZED FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x0691be…0c44
Haras El Hodood SC vs. ZED FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xc3a5b7…20a0
Haras El Hodood SC vs. ZED FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x4cfcee…151a
Haras El Hodood SC vs. ZED FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x446a8c…ec1f
Haras El Hodood SC vs. ZED FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xc61fee…dbe0
Haras El Hodood SC vs. ZED FC - More Markets: ZED FC (-2.5)
0xc2e12e…531a
Haras El Hodood SC vs. ZED FC - More Markets: Haras El Hodood SC (-2.5)
0x4ba70b…576a
Haras El Hodood SC vs. ZED FC - More Markets: ZED FC (-1.5)
0x8b80ae…e3a6
Analysis
This probability represents the likelihood that Haras El Hodood SC wins their match against ZED FC. The 49% reading reflects moderate uncertainty in a three-outcome market (win/draw/loss), with the leading contract pricing Haras El Hodood's victory slightly below even odds. The current level is driven by available team strength assessments and recent form data; an increase would require stronger indicators of Haras El Hodood's competitive advantage, while a decrease would signal market participants favoring either a draw or ZED FC victory. The primary uncertainty resolver is the match itself, which determines the outcome and closes all related contracts upon completion.
- ›Comparative recent performance and head-to-head record between the two clubs, if available in historical data
- ›Home/away advantage, stadium conditions, and venue history for the scheduled match location
- ›Team squad availability, injury status, and lineup composition as of match day
- ›Market depth across the three outcome contracts—the 49% leader versus 37% runner-up suggests meaningful disagreement on win probabilities
- ›Trading volume and price stability on Polymarket; low relative volume may indicate limited consensus or sparse information flow
Recently closed in general
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 11 min ago.