Henan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC - More Markets
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 37% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
37%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$483
20 contracts
Top contract
5¢
$306 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
3 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 22% of their title tokens — “Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC - More Markets” vs “Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC - More Markets
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x20d721…2fe8
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x92fa6c…9a3a
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xff2a9a…cd1f
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xb2fdfb…12fc
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC - More Markets: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)
0x8d6eb4…11cc
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC - More Markets: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)
0xfa1d79…8e45
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x1e5ceb…d94f
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC - More Markets: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)
0x15f1cb…719f
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC - More Markets: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)
0x1602b2…5c4d
Cluster 2
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x34dea0…204d
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets: Henan FC (-2.5)
0xd8a866…979b
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x07f191…7772
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x326ee5…214b
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5)
0x7b11ba…e46e
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-2.5)
0x264488…7bf2
Cluster 3
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC - More Markets
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC - More Markets: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5)
0x96f320…71c5
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x64562d…92f6
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC - More Markets: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)
0x8f9476…0be2
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x06629a…cd4f
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x71de78…f592
What moved the line
- May 3Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-2.5)↑16pp14→30¢ · Polymarket
- May 2Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)↓10pp26→16¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)↑8pp23→31¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)↑6pp23→29¢ · Polymarket
- May 2Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)↓5pp28→23¢ · Polymarket
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 4 min ago.