Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo vs. Fujieda MYFC - More Markets
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 40% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
40%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
−10pp
9h ago
24h volume
$0
20 contracts
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
241 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo vs. AC Nagano Parceiro” vs “Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo vs. AC Nagano Parceiro
Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo vs. AC Nagano Parceiro: Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo
0x138f6b…2b05
Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo vs. AC Nagano Parceiro - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x2d6f52…eee5
Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo vs. AC Nagano Parceiro - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x49ed80…fb98
Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo vs. AC Nagano Parceiro - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x12cb79…e2fd
Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo vs. AC Nagano Parceiro - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x2e6bb7…5304
Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo vs. AC Nagano Parceiro - More Markets: AC Nagano Parceiro (-2.5)
0x0f2b3b…9e2a
Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo vs. AC Nagano Parceiro - More Markets: Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo (-2.5)
0x50d1b1…dd2f
Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo vs. AC Nagano Parceiro - More Markets: AC Nagano Parceiro (-1.5)
0x3db89e…85f4
Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo vs. AC Nagano Parceiro: AC Nagano Parceiro
0x9bd3d8…a2f1
Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo vs. AC Nagano Parceiro - More Markets: Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo (-1.5)
0xcca25a…c845
Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo vs. AC Nagano Parceiro: Draw (Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo vs. AC Nagano Parceiro)
0xdd765c…86d6
Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo vs. AC Nagano Parceiro - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x3d9112…2eaf
Cluster 2
Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC
Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC: Fujieda MYFC
0x4bfcf9…c395
Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x799b41…e88e
Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC: Fukushima United FC
0x19ecdc…09ff
Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x2c9b2c…f16e
Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC - More Markets: Fujieda MYFC (-2.5)
0x572064…4517
Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC: Draw (Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC)
0xfd9ea4…f2dc
Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC - More Markets: Fukushima United FC (-2.5)
0xa28785…00f2
Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC - More Markets: Fukushima United FC (-1.5)
0x37f47e…19c3
Analysis
This market reflects a 50% probability that Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo will defeat Fujieda MYFC in an upcoming J-League or Japanese football match. The even split suggests neither team has a clear perceived advantage based on current market sentiment. Key drivers of this probability include recent form, head-to-head history, injuries, and home-field status. The market will resolve once the match is played and a final result is determined. Low trading volume ($0 24h) across related contracts suggests limited recent activity and potentially thin liquidity, which may reduce confidence in the accuracy of the current 50% assessment. The exact match date and venue details would be critical for evaluating whether this probability appropriately reflects team capabilities and contextual factors.
- ›Recent league standings and points differential between Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo and Fujieda MYFC in their respective divisions or competitions
- ›Head-to-head historical record between these two clubs, including results, goal differential, and playing style matchups
- ›Confirmed team roster status, including key player injuries, suspensions, or recent transfers that affect squad composition
- ›Home versus away designation for the match, as well as venue-specific performance records for each team
- ›League position and current form trajectory (wins/losses/draws in last 5-10 matches) for both clubs entering the fixture
What moved the line
- May 3AC Nagano Parceiro↓11pp40→29¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Both Teams to Score↑5pp50→55¢ · Polymarket
- May 3AC Nagano Parceiro (-1.5)↑5pp33→38¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Fukushima United FC (-1.5)↑5pp33→38¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo (-1.5)↑3pp38→41¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 5 min ago.