Incheon United FC vs. Gangwon FC
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 33% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
33%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$681
20 contracts
Top contract
49¢
$298 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
5 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 13% of their title tokens — “Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC” vs “Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC: Incheon United FC
0x10cbc2…77dd
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC
0x76a37b…687c
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x5d58f6…ee3d
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC - More Markets: Incheon United FC (-2.5)
0x4ce71d…a7ed
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x14ce80…b44a
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC - More Markets: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-1.5)
0x1b4942…ebf9
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x73881e…c695
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC - More Markets: Incheon United FC (-1.5)
0x8d81ee…e872
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC: Draw (Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC)
0x747211…dabc
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC - More Markets: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-2.5)
0x2db8ba…2d23
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x110c54…a329
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x322393…b00a
Cluster 2
Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC
Cluster 3
United States vs. Paraguay
Cluster 4
FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC - More Markets: O/U
Cluster 5
Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x39eae1…cc7b
What moved the line
- May 2Incheon United FC (-1.5)↓18pp35→17¢ · Polymarket
- May 2Incheon United FC (-2.5)↓17pp35→18¢ · Polymarket
- May 2Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-2.5)↓14pp34→20¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Incheon United FC (-1.5)↑8pp17→25¢ · Polymarket
- May 2O/U 2.5↓7pp52→45¢ · Polymarket
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 23 min ago.