Iwaki FC vs. FC Gifu - More Markets
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 33% across 18 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
33%
18 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$0
18 contracts
Closes
May 6, 2026
1 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 18 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 25% of their title tokens — “FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC - More Markets” vs “RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC - More Markets”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC - More Markets
FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC - More Markets: FC Gifu (-2.5)
0x357eb0…5b1a
FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x3a2525…2e6c
FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC - More Markets: Matsumoto Yamaga FC (-1.5)
0x17df3f…3a78
FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x14ea88…f55f
FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC - More Markets: FC Gifu (-1.5)
0xc2a30a…e6c8
FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xe897e5…45d0
FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC - More Markets: Matsumoto Yamaga FC (-2.5)
0x1852d1…1f72
FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x0aa172…3ef6
FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x99c503…6f42
Cluster 2
RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC - More Markets
RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xfacf32…cc9f
RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x728f89…870a
RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x2195c5…48b0
RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC - More Markets: Iwaki FC (-2.5)
0x129775…a1cd
RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC - More Markets: RB Ōmiya Ardija (-2.5)
0x8e56cc…7711
RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xbb1f4e…b486
RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC - More Markets: Iwaki FC (-1.5)
0x3783e6…bf0a
RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x0f34a8…10f8
RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC - More Markets: RB Ōmiya Ardija (-1.5)
0xe2879d…4d3a
What moved the line
- May 3FC Gifu (-2.5)↑4pp32→36¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Matsumoto Yamaga FC (-1.5)↑4pp33→37¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Iwaki FC (-1.5)↑3pp33→36¢ · Polymarket
- May 3FC Gifu (-1.5)↑3pp39→42¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 4 min ago.