Kamatamare Sanuki vs. Zweigen Kanazawa
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 42% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
42%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$0
20 contracts
Top contract
33¢
$0 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC” vs “Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC - More Markets: Zweigen Kanazawa (-2.5)
0xcc1cd0…f8ca
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC: Draw (Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC)
0xea0e87…e8af
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x09a571…4d01
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC - More Markets: Ehime FC (-2.5)
0x0e9852…4a6f
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC: Zweigen Kanazawa
0x7cd970…f2a6
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xbfea6d…16fe
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x6b317d…c7ea
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xd4e73b…7c1f
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC - More Markets: Ehime FC (-1.5)
0xc0f88a…27d9
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC - More Markets: Zweigen Kanazawa (-1.5)
0x25a76f…ea06
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x8eeea8…99fe
Cluster 2
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x881f45…deb3
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x487003…01fe
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki: Draw (Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki)
0x8f340f…1ee8
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki: Kataller Toyama
0x5261c5…e1bc
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki - More Markets: Kataller Toyama (-1.5)
0xa18b4a…9f97
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki - More Markets: Kataller Toyama (-2.5)
0xa0c83b…2708
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki - More Markets: Kamatamare Sanuki (-2.5)
0x082d3e…9b88
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki - More Markets: Kamatamare Sanuki (-1.5)
0x7056f5…f07f
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xd10859…62db
What moved the line
- May 3Zweigen Kanazawa (-2.5)↑5pp32→37¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Kamatamare Sanuki (-1.5)↑5pp33→38¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Ehime FC (-1.5)↑4pp33→37¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Kamatamare Sanuki (-2.5)↑4pp34→38¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Kataller Toyama (-2.5)↑4pp32→36¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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