Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kashima Antlers - More Markets
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 31% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
31%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$0
20 contracts
Top contract
12¢
$0 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds” vs “Kashima Antlers vs. FC Mito Holly Hock - More Markets”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xde5526…9dbc
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: Urawa Red Diamonds
0xa86687…d447
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: Kashiwa Reysol
0x3481b3…7cd2
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds - More Markets: Kashiwa Reysol (-1.5)
0x13fca1…9be2
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x1083aa…04fd
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds - More Markets: Urawa Red Diamonds (-2.5)
0xc60a6d…d8a2
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds - More Markets: Kashiwa Reysol (-2.5)
0xadcf74…f821
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x8c771d…0d08
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x137a07…5c60
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds - More Markets: Urawa Red Diamonds (-1.5)
0xf874fe…2d7f
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x1ae4fa…7485
Cluster 2
Kashima Antlers vs. FC Mito Holly Hock - More Markets
Kashima Antlers vs. FC Mito Holly Hock - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xd385a3…17a7
Kashima Antlers vs. FC Mito Holly Hock - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x081084…5e13
Kashima Antlers vs. FC Mito Holly Hock - More Markets: FC Mito Holly Hock (-2.5)
0x317f8e…e834
Kashima Antlers vs. FC Mito Holly Hock - More Markets: Kashima Antlers (-1.5)
0xe7a530…9059
Kashima Antlers vs. FC Mito Holly Hock - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x0020fd…fde4
Kashima Antlers vs. FC Mito Holly Hock - More Markets: Kashima Antlers (-2.5)
0x6b096c…3965
Kashima Antlers vs. FC Mito Holly Hock - More Markets: FC Mito Holly Hock (-1.5)
0x016905…b20d
Kashima Antlers vs. FC Mito Holly Hock - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x9a04eb…c058
Kashima Antlers vs. FC Mito Holly Hock - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x2f00d8…2029
What moved the line
- May 3Kashiwa Reysol (-1.5)↓8pp37→29¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Kashima Antlers (-2.5)↑4pp32→36¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Kashiwa Reysol (-2.5)↓4pp32→28¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Urawa Red Diamonds (-2.5)↓4pp28→24¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Urawa Red Diamonds (-1.5)↓3pp28→25¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 6 min ago.