Kawasaki Frontale vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba - More Markets
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 29% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
29%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$14
20 contracts
Top contract
9¢
$10 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba” vs “Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba
FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: Draw (FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba)
0xb361f9…8895
FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba - More Markets: JEF United Ichihara Chiba (-2.5)
0x33b4f0…ef17
FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba - More Markets: JEF United Ichihara Chiba (-1.5)
0x6d4f0c…5c80
FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: JEF United Ichihara Chiba
0xdc8c78…b5f6
FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x371c76…f813
FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xf4e7f5…2eb9
FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xa222ae…3262
FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xc3210d…64d9
FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba - More Markets: FC Tōkyō (-2.5)
0x77dc65…c67e
FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba - More Markets: FC Tōkyō (-1.5)
0x3724ce…8650
FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: FC Tōkyō
0xd5f09f…3626
FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x47d52b…9c5a
Cluster 2
Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy
Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy - More Markets: Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5)
0x2ae2eb…68c8
Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy: Kawasaki Frontale
0x5d662a…c279
Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy: Draw (Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy)
0xae4b3d…8744
Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x85c5f0…7cdb
Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy - More Markets: Kawasaki Frontale (-1.5)
0x8de3ff…55c6
Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy - More Markets: Kawasaki Frontale (-2.5)
0x3c1aa9…576e
Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x90099f…118b
Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy: Tōkyō Verdy
0x3d1c1d…ae22
What moved the line
- May 3FC Tōkyō↑18pp48→66¢ · Polymarket
- May 3JEF United Ichihara Chiba (-2.5)↑13pp9→22¢ · Polymarket
- May 2JEF United Ichihara Chiba↓12pp35→23¢ · Polymarket
- May 3JEF United Ichihara Chiba↓10pp23→13¢ · Polymarket
- May 3JEF United Ichihara Chiba (-1.5)↑10pp10→20¢ · Polymarket
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 23 min ago.