Kōchi United SC vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: Kōchi United SC (-1.5)
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 38% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
38%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$40
20 contracts
Top contract
24¢
$29 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
3 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 22% of their title tokens — “FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC - More Markets” vs “Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC - More Markets
FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x58385d…685c
FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xf48e4b…939a
FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x2274e1…b6f2
FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC - More Markets: FC Imabari (-1.5)
0xc0761d…230c
FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xa5ce22…337e
FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC - More Markets: Kōchi United SC (-2.5)
0xf3fbca…ff30
FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC - More Markets: Kōchi United SC (-1.5)
0x288303…8cb2
FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x55d847…096b
FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC - More Markets: FC Imabari (-2.5)
0xc5e536…58b4
Cluster 2
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x1c95fd…fbab
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xc21a62…0eea
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x168e56…f6b6
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: Albirex Niigata (-2.5)
0x1e0203…ea73
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xbeb972…3a3f
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xbff960…8b67
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: Tokushima Vortis (-1.5)
0x7eb8e5…c63f
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: Tokushima Vortis (-2.5)
0x5dd98a…38d8
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: Albirex Niigata (-1.5)
0x01a64b…9a7e
Cluster 3
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC - More Markets
What moved the line
- May 2Incheon United FC (-2.5)↓17pp35→18¢ · Polymarket
- May 3FC Imabari (-2.5)↑6pp32→38¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Kōchi United SC (-1.5)↑5pp33→38¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Tokushima Vortis (-1.5)↑5pp33→38¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Kōchi United SC (-2.5)↑4pp34→38¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 4 min ago.