Pohang Steelers vs Gwangju Winner
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 30% across 18 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
30%
18 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$27
18 contracts
Top contract
28¢
$27 · Kalshi
30-day trend
Bracket families
6 clusters across 18 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 20% of their title tokens — “Bucheon vs Jeju SK Winner” vs “Seoul vs FC Anyang Winner”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Bucheon vs Jeju SK Winner
Cluster 2
Seoul vs FC Anyang Winner
Cluster 3
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Ulsan HD Winner
Cluster 4
Gangwon vs Pohang Steelers Winner
Cluster 5
Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon Utd Winner
Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon Utd Winner?: Daejeon Citizen
KXKLEAGUEGAME-26MAY05DAJINC-DAJ
Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon Utd Winner?: Tie
KXKLEAGUEGAME-26MAY05DAJINC-TIE
Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon Utd Winner?: Incheon Utd
KXKLEAGUEGAME-26MAY05DAJINC-INC
Cluster 6
Jeonbuk vs Gwangju Winner
What moved the line
- May 3Seoul↑29pp22→51¢ · Kalshi
- May 3Bucheon↑7pp27→34¢ · Kalshi
- May 3Jeonbuk↑6pp60→66¢ · Kalshi
- May 3Tie↑4pp24→28¢ · Kalshi
- May 3Jeju SK↑3pp25→28¢ · Kalshi
Recently closed in general
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 1 min ago.