SimpleFunctions
Winner-take-all · 15 outcomes15 contractsKalshi + Polymarketrefreshed 12 min agoCloses May 3, 2026 · 0d

National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Modern SC

Leader sits at 65% across 15 bound outcomes, runner-up at 51%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.

Leader probability

65%

O/U 1.5

runner-up 51¢leader 65¢

Outcomes

15

winner-take-all

Runner-up

51¢

O/U 2.5

Spread

14pp

contested

24h volume

$198

thin orderbook

Closes

May 3, 2026

0 days

Cross-venue

K3+P12

5pp gap

30-day trend

0%50%100%-30d-3w-2w-1wtodayO/U 1.5: 61% on 2026-05-03O/U 2.5: 52% on 2026-05-03Both Teams to Score: 46% on 2026-05-03
O/U 1.561¢O/U 2.552¢Both Teams to Score46¢
Top 3 candidates by current price · 1d

Cross-venue edge

Kalshi 33¢ · Polymarket 38¢ · 5pp spread

Buy on Kalshi (33¢, 3 contracts) and sell on Polymarket (38¢) — assuming both contracts settle on the same outcome.

Bracket family

How the bracket ladder is priced.

Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.

Cluster 1

National Bank

15 contracts$198
OutcomePrice24hVolumeVenueDetail

National Bank Egypt vs Modern Winner?: National Bank Egypt

KXEGYPLGAME-26MAY03NBEMOD-NBE

42¢+3pp$86K

National Bank Egypt vs Modern Winner?: Tie

KXEGYPLGAME-26MAY03NBEMOD-TIE

33¢+4pp$73K

National Bank Egypt vs Modern Winner?: Modern

KXEGYPLGAME-26MAY03NBEMOD-MOD

23¢+3pp$40K

National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Ismaily SC - More Markets: National Bank of Egypt Club (-1.5)

0x21ed5a…5e0d

32¢$0P

National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Ismaily SC - More Markets: O/U 3.5

0x3c0f5f…5d9f

36¢$0P

National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Ismaily SC - More Markets: O/U 2.5

0x3e4cd1…c9a0

51¢$0P

National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Ismaily SC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score

0xe6e231…6e53

47¢$0P

National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Ismaily SC: Ismaily SC

0xb614f6…aa93

31¢±0$0P

National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Ismaily SC: National Bank of Egypt Club

0x02c648…8403

41¢±0$0P

National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Ismaily SC: Draw (National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Ismaily SC)

0x1728e3…d4de

30¢±0$0P

National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Ismaily SC - More Markets: Ismaily SC (-1.5)

0xaa1d2c…6cde

33¢$0P

National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Ismaily SC - More Markets: O/U 1.5

0x491b92…d453

65¢$0P

National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Ismaily SC - More Markets: O/U 4.5

0xfa839b…5bad

29¢$0P

National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Ismaily SC - More Markets: National Bank of Egypt Club (-2.5)

0x5d63d2…892c

32¢$0P

National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Ismaily SC - More Markets: Ismaily SC (-2.5)

0xd8cc8e…ab19

34¢$0P

What moved the line

  • May 2National Bank Egypt13pp2538¢ · Kalshi
  • May 1Tie9pp1726¢ · Kalshi
  • May 1Modern5pp1419¢ · Kalshi
  • May 3Tie4pp2832¢ · Kalshi
  • May 3National Bank Egypt3pp3841¢ · Kalshi

Recently closed in general

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

More like this

Adjacent prediction questions.

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 12 min ago.