NBA Coach of the Year Winner: JB Bickerstaff
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 6% across 1 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
6%
1 contract
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$5K
1 contracts
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
52 days
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
NBA Coach of the Year Winner: JB Bickerstaff
NBA Coach of the Year Winner: JB Bickerstaff
0xc98057…0ea7
Analysis
This probability reflects market expectations that JB Bickerstaff will win the 2026 NBA Coach of the Year award. At 6%, the market views him as a significant underdog compared to Joe Mazzulla, whose contract prices around 94%. The low probability likely reflects either Bickerstaff's team performance relative to preseason expectations or Mazzulla's strong early-season results with the Boston Celtics. The primary driver of this probability will be regular-season performance metrics: win-loss record, team improvement year-over-year, and playoff seeding. The 2025-26 season concludes in April 2026, with the Coach of the Year award announced typically in June. Market participants would reassess this probability based on updated standings, individual team trajectories, and comparative performance of other coaching candidates throughout the season. The final resolution depends on voting by media members and fan participation in the official NBA award process.
- ›Bickerstaff's team's current win-loss record and playoff position relative to preseason projections
- ›Year-over-year improvement in wins and team performance compared to the prior season
- ›Relative performance and win totals of competing coaching candidates, particularly Joe Mazzulla and the Boston Celtics
- ›Media narrative and voter sentiment as reflected in mid-season and end-of-season coverage
- ›Whether Bickerstaff's team makes the playoffs and their seed, which historically correlates with Coach of the Year voting
What moved the line
- May 6JB Bickerstaff↓4pp7→3¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in sports
- PSL Game PredictionsPeshawar Zalmilast 76% · 5d
- Will Gerwyn Price win the Gian van Veen vs Gerwyn Price darts matchlast 47% · 1d
- What will the announcers say during PSG vs Bayern Munich professional Champions League soccer gamelast 40% · 1d
- Will Match Group Inc. report above 14.4 million total payers in Q1 2026nolast 3% · 2d
- What will the announcers say during Game 2yeslast 97% · 3d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
Lateral coverage
Thin contract — here's where the deeper coverage is.
This page aggregates 1 contract (6% headline). At low contract count, the price reflects two participants’ opinions, not a market consensus. The links below are heavier related questions where the orderbook signal is real.
In sports
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 10 min ago.