IPL Game Predictions
Leader sits at 52% across 2 bound outcomes, runner-up at 48%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
Rajasthan Royals
Outcomes
2
winner-take-all
Runner-up
48¢
Gujarat Titans
Spread
4pp
contested
24h volume
$221K
liquid
Closes
May 31, 2026
2 days
Venue
Kalshi
2 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals Winner
Analysis
This probability reflects market expectations for outcomes in ongoing Indian Premier League matches during the 2026 season. The 41% aggregate reflects uncertainty across multiple concurrent matchups, with trading concentrated on the Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals contest showing near-parity at 51-48 cents. Market participants are pricing in team form, player availability, and venue conditions as matches unfold. The resolution depends entirely on match results as games are played over the coming days, with each fixture providing definitive outcomes that will either confirm or contradict current pricing. Trading volume concentration in the MI-RR matchup ($14,826 in 24h) versus lower liquidity in other contracts suggests some disagreement about relative probabilities across different pairings.
- ›Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals contract shows near-even split (51-48 cents) despite being highest-volume contract, indicating genuine uncertainty rather than consensus among traders
- ›Kolkata Knight Riders priced at 56 cents versus Delhi Capitals at 42 cents suggests market confidence in KKR, but volume remains relatively modest at $2,228
- ›Royal Challengers Bengaluru at 36 cents against Gujarat Titans reflects lowest confidence tier, though contract shows minimal trading activity ($302)
- ›Current spread across contracts shows no single matchup dominates market conviction, with probabilities ranging from 36-56 cents
- ›Each fixture will resolve within days, providing objective match outcomes that will immediately shift related contract values
Recently closed in ipl cricket
- NHL Vezina Trophy Winnerlast 4% · 0d
- Will Team Liquid win the Team Liquid vs. Natus Vincere Valorant matchlast 50% · 1d
- Will MIR win map 2 in the MIR vs. Enterprise Esports matchlast 48% · 1d
- Will Jaume Munar win set 1 in the Jaume Munar vs Alexander Shevchenko matchlast 33% · 1d
- Will Tomas Machac win the Tomas Machac vs Daniil Medvedev match by a set score of 2-0last 16% · 1d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
Lateral coverage
Thin contract — here's where the deeper coverage is.
This page aggregates 2 contracts (52% headline). At low contract count, the price reflects two participants’ opinions, not a market consensus. The links below are heavier related questions where the orderbook signal is real.
In ipl cricket
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: just now.