Will Chet Holmgren be selected to the 2025-26 All-Pro Basketball 3rd Team

30-day trend

Analysis

This market estimates a 26% likelihood that Chet Holmgren receives All-Pro honors at the third-team level for the 2025-26 NBA season. Holmgren's selection chances depend primarily on his defensive impact, availability, and statistical output over the full season relative to other frontcourt competitors. The All-Pro voting typically occurs in late April 2026, with results announced shortly after, making the remainder of the regular season and his health status critical variables. Current positioning suggests moderate uncertainty about whether he ranks among the top defensive forwards and centers—higher than fringe candidates but below consensus selections like Ausar Thompson (96¢) in related defensive markets.

• ›Holmgren's games played and injury history through end of regular season (April 2026)
• ›His defensive box-score metrics (steals, blocks, defensive rebounds) relative to other frontcourt candidates
• ›All-Pro voter preferences for positional allocation and whether third team recognizes dual-position eligibility
• ›Comparison to other likely third-team candidates at forward/center positions
• ›Team playoff seeding and performance, which historically influences All-Pro consideration

What moved the line

• May 2Tyrese Maxey↓26pp60→34¢ · Kalshi
• Apr 28Stephon Castle↓15pp16→1¢ · Kalshi
• May 3Tyrese Maxey↓11pp34→23¢ · Kalshi
• Apr 27Karl-Anthony Towns↓4pp7→3¢ · Kalshi

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How we compute these odds