SimpleFunctions
Sports2 contractsKalshirefreshed 1 min agoCloses May 23, 2026 · 14d

Will Amen Thompson record the most points in the Houston vs Los Angeles L professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 21, 2026

Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 16% across 2 Kalshi contracts.

Implied probability

16%
0%50%100%

Kalshi

16%

2 contracts

Polymarket

not bound

Cross-venue gap

single venue

24h move

no pin

24h volume

$20K

2 contracts

Closes

May 23, 2026

14 days

Bracket families

2 clusters across 2 contracts.

These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.

Cluster 1

Will Cade Cunningham record the most points in the Detroit vs Cleveland professional basketball game originally scheduled for May 9, 2026

1 contract$10K

Cluster 2

Will Donovan Mitchell record the most points in the Detroit vs Cleveland professional basketball game originally scheduled for May 9, 2026

1 contract$10K

Recently closed in sports

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

Lateral coverage

Thin contract — here's where the deeper coverage is.

This page aggregates 2 contracts (16% headline). At low contract count, the price reflects two participants’ opinions, not a market consensus. The links below are heavier related questions where the orderbook signal is real.

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 1 min ago.