Pro Football top 5 draft picks in 2026
Leader sits at 97% across 20 bound outcomes, runner-up at 97%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
Cameron Boozer
Outcomes
20
winner-take-all
Runner-up
97¢
Darryn Peterson
Spread
0pp
contested
24h volume
$375
thin orderbook
Closes
—
not derived
Venue
Kalshi
20 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Pro basketball top
Pro basketball top 3 draft picks in 2026?: Darius Acuff Jr.
KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-3-DACU
Pro basketball top 5 draft picks in 2026?: Darius Acuff Jr.
KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-5-DACU
Pro basketball top 5 draft picks in 2026?: Cameron Boozer
KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-5-CBOO
Pro basketball top 3 draft picks in 2026?: Cameron Boozer
KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-3-CBOO
Pro basketball top 3 draft picks in 2026?: AJ Dybantsa
KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-3-ADYB
Pro basketball top 5 draft picks in 2026?: Mikel Brown Jr.
KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-5-MBRO
Pro basketball top 5 draft picks in 2026?: Caleb Wilson
KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-5-CWIL
Pro basketball top 3 draft picks in 2026?: Karim Lopez
KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-3-KLOP
Pro basketball top 10 draft picks in 2026?: Keaton Wagler
KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-10-KWAG
Pro basketball top 5 draft picks in 2026?: Koa Peat
KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-5-KPEA
Pro basketball top 10 draft picks in 2026?: Bennett Stirtz
KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-10-BSTI
Pro basketball top 10 draft picks in 2026?: Darryn Peterson
KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-10-DPET
Pro basketball top 5 draft picks in 2026?: Karim Lopez
KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-5-KLOP
Pro basketball top 10 draft picks in 2026?: Cameron Boozer
KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-10-CBOO
Pro basketball top 10 draft picks in 2026?: Dame Sarr
KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-10-DSAR
Pro basketball top 10 draft picks in 2026?: Koa Peat
KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-10-KPEA
Pro basketball top 5 draft picks in 2026?: Hannes Steinbach
KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-5-HSTE
Pro basketball top 3 draft picks in 2026?: Caleb Wilson
KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-3-CWIL
Pro basketball top 10 draft picks in 2026?: Mikel Brown Jr.
KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-10-MBRO
Pro basketball top 10 draft picks in 2026?: Jayden Quaintance
KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-10-JQUA
What moved the line
- Apr 28Darryn Peterson↑15pp82→97¢ · Kalshi
- Apr 30Keaton Wagler↑12pp76→88¢ · Kalshi
- Apr 30Darius Acuff Jr.↓5pp9→4¢ · Kalshi
- Apr 27Koa Peat↓5pp17→12¢ · Kalshi
- Apr 27Darius Acuff Jr.↓3pp12→9¢ · Kalshi
Recently closed in general
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 9 min ago.